From Bill Connelly of SBNation.
Disclaimer: this guy ranked Houston 44th to finish last year, behind Louisville at 28, Navy at 20 and Florida St at 7. He's a numbers guy, but clearly his system is flawed. Yes - Houston was lucky last year to some extent. But come on - we were 5th nationally in average scoring margin. And what Top 10 didn't get lucky a couple of times?
Link to entire list of previews.
Navy
Houston
Temple
USF
Memphis
Cincy
East Car
UConn
UCF
Tulane
SMU
Tulsa
If he's working from bottom to top, then we play the bottom five teams in the league per Connelly.
Here is his Texas State review. He ranks them 10th of 11 in the SunBelt.
Interestingly, he picked the MAC to have a better season than the Mountain West. Picking each league:
American
Tier 1 - Houston, USF, Temple
Tier 2 - Memphis, Navy, Cincy, UConn
Tier 3 - East Carolina, Tulsa
Tier 4 - SMU, UCF, Tulane
CUSA
Tier 1 - Western Ky
Tier 2 - Marshall, Southern Miss, La Tech, Middle Tenn, Fla Atlantic
Sun Belt
Tier 1 - App St, Arkansas St, Georgia Southern
Tier 2 - Troy, Georgia St, ULaLa
MWC
Tier 1 - Boise, San Diego St
Tier 2 - Air Force, Utah St
MAC
Tier 1 - Western Mich, Toledo
Tier 2 - NIU, Bowling Green, Ohio, Central Mich
Disclaimer: this guy ranked Houston 44th to finish last year, behind Louisville at 28, Navy at 20 and Florida St at 7. He's a numbers guy, but clearly his system is flawed. Yes - Houston was lucky last year to some extent. But come on - we were 5th nationally in average scoring margin. And what Top 10 didn't get lucky a couple of times?
Link to entire list of previews.
Navy
Houston
Temple
USF
Memphis
Cincy
East Car
UConn
UCF
Tulane
SMU
Tulsa
If he's working from bottom to top, then we play the bottom five teams in the league per Connelly.
Here is his Texas State review. He ranks them 10th of 11 in the SunBelt.
Interestingly, he picked the MAC to have a better season than the Mountain West. Picking each league:
American
Tier 1 - Houston, USF, Temple
Tier 2 - Memphis, Navy, Cincy, UConn
Tier 3 - East Carolina, Tulsa
Tier 4 - SMU, UCF, Tulane
CUSA
Tier 1 - Western Ky
Tier 2 - Marshall, Southern Miss, La Tech, Middle Tenn, Fla Atlantic
Sun Belt
Tier 1 - App St, Arkansas St, Georgia Southern
Tier 2 - Troy, Georgia St, ULaLa
MWC
Tier 1 - Boise, San Diego St
Tier 2 - Air Force, Utah St
MAC
Tier 1 - Western Mich, Toledo
Tier 2 - NIU, Bowling Green, Ohio, Central Mich
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