but we've been remarkably consistent this year.
I grade football effort/efficiency as follows:
1. Average the Pigskin Index and Dokter Entropy power ratings for our foes -- two of the most accurate power ratings freely available.
2. Add or subtract 3 points for home field.
3. Add (subtract) the margin of victory (defeat).
This year, each game we have graded between 70 and 77. Mean of 73 with a standard deviation of 2.9 points.
The average team is 65.7. So we are playing 7.3 points per game better than the average team.
****************
A look back at prior seasons:
2013
Graded at a mean of 80.1 with a standard deviation of 13.1 points. Average team = 74.2. We operated 5.9 points per game above average.
2014
Graded at a mean of 76.1 with a standard devation of 16 points. Average team = 74.9. We operated 1.2 points per game above average.
2015
Graded at a mean of 90.2 with a standard devation of 11.9 points. Average team = 77.1. We operated 13.2 points per game above average.
2016
Graded at a mean of 83.7 with a standard deviation of 19.3 points. Average team = 78.3. We operated 5.4 points per game above average.
*************
As I mentioned, very consistent this year. A standard deviation of 2.9 is MUCH smaller than any of the last four years.
To put a consistent 70-77 points per game in perspective, last year we graded out at 108 for OU and 114 for Louisville but 59 for SDSU and 52 for SMU. Just haven't seen that level of brilliance from this team, or that level of inconsistency.
I grade football effort/efficiency as follows:
1. Average the Pigskin Index and Dokter Entropy power ratings for our foes -- two of the most accurate power ratings freely available.
2. Add or subtract 3 points for home field.
3. Add (subtract) the margin of victory (defeat).
This year, each game we have graded between 70 and 77. Mean of 73 with a standard deviation of 2.9 points.
The average team is 65.7. So we are playing 7.3 points per game better than the average team.
****************
A look back at prior seasons:
2013
Graded at a mean of 80.1 with a standard deviation of 13.1 points. Average team = 74.2. We operated 5.9 points per game above average.
2014
Graded at a mean of 76.1 with a standard devation of 16 points. Average team = 74.9. We operated 1.2 points per game above average.
2015
Graded at a mean of 90.2 with a standard devation of 11.9 points. Average team = 77.1. We operated 13.2 points per game above average.
2016
Graded at a mean of 83.7 with a standard deviation of 19.3 points. Average team = 78.3. We operated 5.4 points per game above average.
*************
As I mentioned, very consistent this year. A standard deviation of 2.9 is MUCH smaller than any of the last four years.
To put a consistent 70-77 points per game in perspective, last year we graded out at 108 for OU and 114 for Louisville but 59 for SDSU and 52 for SMU. Just haven't seen that level of brilliance from this team, or that level of inconsistency.
