http://espn.go.com/college-football...define-first-college-football-playoff-ranking
Now the BCS formula is gone there is no longer a number for the ranking but this article helps give some insight on how one voter looks at SOS.
1. Wins against FCS
2. Wins against above .500 teams
3. Wins against top 30 in FPI
4, Opponent winning %
5. SOS played
6. SOS remaining
7. Overall SOS
UH doesn't look good any of these categories but SOS is not the only factor. Still it is one that will keep us out of the playoff even if we go 12-0.
How UH scores
1. 1
2. 0 potential of only 3 or 4 now depending on if TU goes above .500 Navy, Memphis, and Cinci likely will but if we beat Cinci it puts them at 5-4. TCU and Baylor already 3 above .500 wins.
3. 0 likely to be 0 at end of the season. Memphis is at 36 it is unlikely they are top 30 by the time we play them. If they beat 62 navy it isn't going to boost them that much.
4. 18-47 27% potential if all remaining teams only lose to UH except UCONN losing every game. 51-62 45% not really great.
5. ? not sure the exact number but it has to be bad with no teams over .500 yet.
6. 71 still weak
The only thing UH looks strong in would be opponents winning percentage if UH beats Cinci, Memphis, and Navy and none of them lose to anyone else. If assume Temple only loses to UH and goes 12-2 then it would rise to 63-64 50%. Our opponents would be at .500 rounded up actually 49.6%
The new scheduling trend of 2 P5s and 2 G5s might help but we need P5 and G5s in the top 30 FPI and the AAC top teams to move a bit. Playing under .500 P5 teams won't help. OU will be a big boost next year but we still have Lamar and TX State not helping us in OOC and a likely crappy Tulane team. SMU coming up would help us too and they showing some signs of that. UCF needs to rebound as well to have a hope at a CFP spot if UH can beat OU and win out next year. If Louisville is around .500 again that doesn't help a lot.
Now the BCS formula is gone there is no longer a number for the ranking but this article helps give some insight on how one voter looks at SOS.
1. Wins against FCS
2. Wins against above .500 teams
3. Wins against top 30 in FPI
4, Opponent winning %
5. SOS played
6. SOS remaining
7. Overall SOS
UH doesn't look good any of these categories but SOS is not the only factor. Still it is one that will keep us out of the playoff even if we go 12-0.
How UH scores
1. 1
2. 0 potential of only 3 or 4 now depending on if TU goes above .500 Navy, Memphis, and Cinci likely will but if we beat Cinci it puts them at 5-4. TCU and Baylor already 3 above .500 wins.
3. 0 likely to be 0 at end of the season. Memphis is at 36 it is unlikely they are top 30 by the time we play them. If they beat 62 navy it isn't going to boost them that much.
4. 18-47 27% potential if all remaining teams only lose to UH except UCONN losing every game. 51-62 45% not really great.
5. ? not sure the exact number but it has to be bad with no teams over .500 yet.
6. 71 still weak
The only thing UH looks strong in would be opponents winning percentage if UH beats Cinci, Memphis, and Navy and none of them lose to anyone else. If assume Temple only loses to UH and goes 12-2 then it would rise to 63-64 50%. Our opponents would be at .500 rounded up actually 49.6%
The new scheduling trend of 2 P5s and 2 G5s might help but we need P5 and G5s in the top 30 FPI and the AAC top teams to move a bit. Playing under .500 P5 teams won't help. OU will be a big boost next year but we still have Lamar and TX State not helping us in OOC and a likely crappy Tulane team. SMU coming up would help us too and they showing some signs of that. UCF needs to rebound as well to have a hope at a CFP spot if UH can beat OU and win out next year. If Louisville is around .500 again that doesn't help a lot.
